交易员<span style='color:#FB4747'>仍</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>将<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>近四次
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>博斯蒂克：<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>将<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>一次
高盛<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>将<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>三次，每次 25 个基点，此前预测为<span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span>
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>博斯蒂克<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>只会<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>一次，低于此前预测的<span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span>
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>点阵图：2025 年<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span>将<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span> <span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span>2026 年和 2027 年各<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>25 个基点
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span>年内将会有<span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span> 鲍威尔表态
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>下调美国经济增速 <span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span>2025 年将<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span>
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>继续按兵不动，<span style='color:#FB4747'>仍</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>2 次！鲍威尔：等待更多数据
中信证券：<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>年内<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>次数小于或等于 2 次
中信证券：依旧<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>年内<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>次数小于或等于 2 次
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>继续按兵不动，称不确定性减弱但还高，<span style='color:#FB4747'>仍</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span>，暗示滞胀风险增加
交易员再次预期<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>将在年内<span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>
美国 5 月 PPI 环比温和上涨 0.1% 低于预期，<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>年内<span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>预期升温
中信证券：依旧<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>年内<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>次数小于或等于 2 次
利率期货交易员<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span>，<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>将在 9 月和 12 月<span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>博斯蒂克：<span style='color:#FB4747'>仍</span>然认为<span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>可能会有一次<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>
惠誉首席经济学家 Brian Coulton：通胀预期大幅回升，<span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>料将<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>一次
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>“ 当红理事 ” 沃勒：看不到长期通胀走高的证据，<span style='color:#FB4747'>仍</span>然预期<span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>晚些时候<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>戴利称<span style='color:#FB4747'>仍</span>对 2025 年底前<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span>感到安心
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>戴利：<span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>进行<span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>或合理，但潜在风险的范围<span style='color:#FB4747'>仍</span>然很大
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>官员：关税冲击超预期 倾向<span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>仅<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>一次
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>博斯蒂克：<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>只会<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>一次，不会出现经济衰退
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>博斯蒂克：<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>只会<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>一次，不会出现经济衰退
摩根大通目前<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>在 2025 年有一次<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>
交易员减少对英国央行<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>的预期，<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span>只会再降<span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span>
<span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>戴利：若通胀更具粘性，<span style='color:#FB4747'>今年</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>次数可能会少于<span style='color:#FB4747'>两次</span>
交易者<span style='color:#FB4747'>预计</span><span style='color:#FB4747'>美联储</span>将在 2025 年进行三次<span style='color:#FB4747'>降息</span>，首次将于 6 月开始
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